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Journal of Clinical Microbiology, April 2006, p. 1224-1228, Vol. 44, No. 4
0095-1137/06/$08.00+0     doi:10.1128/JCM.44.4.1224-1228.2006
Copyright © 2006, American Society for Microbiology. All Rights Reserved.

Potential Impact of Conjugate Vaccine on the Incidence of Invasive Pneumococcal Disease among Children in Scotland

Stuart C. Clarke,1,2,3* Johanna M. Jefferies,1 Andrew J. Smith,4 Jim McMenamin,5 Timothy J. Mitchell,2 and Giles F. S. Edwards1

Scottish Meningococcus and Pneumococcus Reference Laboratory, Glasgow, United Kingdom,1 Division of Infection and Immunity, Institute of Biomedical and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, United Kingdom,2 Portsmouth City PCT, Portsmouth, United Kingdom,3 Glasgow Dental School, Glasgow, United Kingdom,4 Health Protection Scotland, Glasgow, United Kingdom5

Received 21 October 2005/ Returned for modification 18 November 2005/ Accepted 3 February 2006

We sought to determine the potential impact of seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) among children in Scotland. Invasive pneumococci from blood and cerebrospinal fluid, isolated between 2000 and 2004 from all children aged less than 5 years in Scotland, were characterized by serotyping. Using reported efficacy data of the seven-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) along with likely coverage rates, we made an estimation of the potential impact on the incidence of IPD among children in Scotland. A total of 217 pneumococci were characterized into 22 different serogroups/types, the most common, in rank order, being 14, 19F, 6B, 18C, 23F, 9V, 4, 1, 19A, and 6A. Estimated serotype coverage for PCV7 was 76.5% in those aged less than 5 years of age but increased to 88.9% for those aged 1 year. By using serotype coverage and estimates of vaccine efficacy and uptake, the potential impact of the vaccine for those greater than 2 months of age, but less than 5 years, was estimated as 67.3%, leading to an average of 29 preventable cases per year. The introduction of PCV7 into the childhood immunization schedule would reduce the burden of pneumococcal disease in children, and the incidence would be particularly reduced in those children aged 1 year. Additional benefits may be gained in adults through herd protection. Continued surveillance of IPD is required before, during, and after the introduction of PCV7.


* Corresponding author. Mailing address: Department of Public Health, Portsmouth City PCT, Finchdean House, Milton Road, Portsmouth PO3 6DP, United Kingdom. Phone: 44 2392 835318. Fax: 44 2392 955312. E-mail: stuartcclarke{at}hotmail.com.


Journal of Clinical Microbiology, April 2006, p. 1224-1228, Vol. 44, No. 4
0095-1137/06/$08.00+0     doi:10.1128/JCM.44.4.1224-1228.2006
Copyright © 2006, American Society for Microbiology. All Rights Reserved.




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