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Journal of Clinical Microbiology, February 2000, p. 800-806, Vol. 38, No. 2
Department of Infectious Diseases
Epidemiology,1 Diagnostic Laboratory for
Infectious Diseases and Perinatal Screening,3
and Laboratory for Clinical Vaccine
Research,4 National Institute of Public
Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, Department of Pediatrics,
`Groene Hart' Hospital, Gouda,2 and
Laboratory of Medical Microbiology, St. Elisabeth Hospital,
Tilburg,5 The Netherlands
Received 16 July 1999/Returned for modification 28 September
1999/Accepted 1 November 1999
Laboratory confirmation of pertussis by culture, PCR, or detection
of antibody increase in paired sera is hampered by low sensitivity in
the later stages of the disease. Therefore, we investigated whether,
and at which level, concentrations of immunoglobulin G (IgG) antibodies
against pertussis toxin (PT), IgG-PT, in a single serum
sample are indicative of active or recent pertussis. IgG-PT, measured
by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in units per milliliter,
was analyzed in 7,756 sera collected in a population-based study in The
Netherlands, in the sera of 3,491 patients with at least a fourfold
increase of IgG-PT, in paired sera of 89 patients with
positive cultures and/or PCR results, and in the sera of 57 patients with clinically documented pertussis with a median follow-up
of 1.4 years. We conclude that, independently of age, IgG-PT levels of
at least 100 U/ml are diagnostic of recent or active
infection with Bordetella pertussis. Such levels are
present in less than 1% of the population and are
reached in most pertussis patients within 4 weeks after disease onset
and persist only temporarily.
Whooping cough is a highly
contagious bacterial infection of the respiratory tract, caused by
Bordetella pertussis. It is most severe in unvaccinated
infants. Evidence is increasing that B. pertussis infections
occur more frequently in older children and adults in vaccinated
populations than has been commonly recognized (1, 4, 6, 8, 17, 22,
26). These individuals may play an important role in the
transmission to infants too young to be vaccinated (4, 7, 19,
25). Adequate laboratory diagnosis is important for the control
and prevention of pertussis.
In The Netherlands, the case definition for notification of pertussis
includes defined typical clinical symptoms and laboratory confirmation.
Laboratory confirmation is defined as either a positive culture or a
positive PCR for B. pertussis or B. parapertussis, or positive two-point serology, i.e., a significant
increase (at least fourfold) of antibodies against (antigens of)
B. pertussis. This case definition for notification is
highly specific, but it results in low sensitivity, especially when
laboratory diagnosis is initiated at a late stage of the disease. Other
countries also report that pertussis diagnosis is hampered by low
sensitivity (16, 20, 27, 30, 31). Culture of B. pertussis is laborious and insensitive; the ability to isolate
B. pertussis by culture decreases progressively during the
disease (12, 13). The sensitivity of PCR is superior to that
of culture; however, this sensitivity, like that of culture, rapidly
decreases by the time the paroxysmal phase has developed and with
increasing age (15, 34). In The Netherlands, confirmation of
suspected pertussis is attempted often by serology. However, in our
serodiagnostic practice, for more than 50% of the suspected cases,
only one serum sample is submitted or else high titers are found in
paired sera without a significant increase. Similar problems have also
been reported by others (9, 23, 28).
Because pertussis toxin (PT) is expressed only by B. pertussis and cross-reacting antigens have not been described
(14, 23) and because immunoglobulin G (IgG) responses occur
in most patients with B. pertussis infection, we
investigated whether, and at which level, titers of IgG antibodies
against PT (IgG-PT) in a single serum sample are indicative for active
or recent pertussis.
We analyzed IgG-PT in the sera of a large cross-section of the
population (n = 7,756), in the paired sera of patients
of all ages in whom clinical suspicion of pertussis was confirmed by at
least a fourfold increase of IgG-PT (n = 3,491), and in
the paired sera of patients in whom pertussis had been confirmed by culture of B. pertussis or by positive pertussis PCR
(n = 89). The course of IgG-PT after natural infection,
i.e., the duration of high levels, was assessed in long-term follow-up
sera of 57 patients after pertussis had been clinically documented.
Collection of sera and data from the general population and
patients. (i) Cross-section of the general population
(n = 7,756).
The study design and data collection
have been published elsewhere (21). Briefly, eight
municipalities with probabilities proportional to their population
sizes were sampled within each of five geographical Dutch regions with
similar population sizes. An age-stratified sample (classes 0, 1 to 4, 5 to 9, ... , 75 to 79 years) of 380 individuals was randomly
selected from each municipality. These individuals were requested to
give a blood sample and to fill out a questionnaire in which the
participants were asked whether they had had a period with coughing
attacks that had lasted for more than 2 weeks. They were also asked
whether a physician had diagnosed pertussis, either during the past
year or for more than 1 year previously. No information was available
as to whether the physician had diagnosed pertussis by symptomatology,
serology, culture, or PCR. The participation rate was 55%. Sufficient
serum for pertussis serology was available from 7,756 of the 8,359 participants. Sera were collected in 1995 and 1996 and stored at
(ii) Patients with serologically confirmed pertussis.
Until
1997, the National Institute of Public Health and the Environment was
the only laboratory in The Netherlands that performed pertussis
serology examinations for patients with a suspected pertussis
infection. Routinely, the submitted sera were assayed for both IgG-PT
and IgA against B. pertussis. In all cases, if the date of
onset of symptoms and/or date of sampling of serum was missing upon
submission of serum, a standard questionnaire was sent to collect the
data. From January 1989 onwards, all data and results were registered
in an electronic database.
0095-1137/00/$04.00+0
Copyright © 2000, American Society for Microbiology. All rights reserved.
Specificity and Sensitivity of High Levels of Immunoglobulin G
Antibodies against Pertussis Toxin in a Single Serum Sample for
Diagnosis of Infection with Bordetella pertussis
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ABSTRACT
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Materials and Methods
Results
Discussion
References
![]()
INTRODUCTION
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Materials and Methods
Results
Discussion
References
![]()
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Materials and Methods
Results
Discussion
References
70°C until use.
4-fold increase of IgG-PT to
20
U/ml.
100 U of IgG-PT per ml without (in the case of
paired sera) a fourfold IgG-PT increase.
(iii) Patients with typically symptomatic infection with B. pertussis and their longitudinal sera. During the period from 1989 to 1998, we obtained follow-up serum samples from 57 patients with a clinical diagnosis of typical pertussis (paroxysmal cough lasting more than 2 weeks) so that we could study the longitudinal course of IgG-PT after infection. Twenty-three patients showed at least a fourfold increase in IgG-PT in paired sera, and 34 patients had an IgG-PT level in a first serum sample of at least 75 U/ml. The IgG-PT level was at least 100 U/ml for 31 of these 34 patients. The follow-up period varied from 6.5 months to 6.7 years after the acute phase of infection (mean, 1.8 years; median, 1.4 years). The number of serum samples collected in the follow-up periods varied from two to seven (mean and median of three). All patients were from a single pediatric practice. The patients were treated with macrolides for their pertussis. Only those patients participated who continued to be treated by the pediatrician after the episode of pertussis because of other medical conditions (mostly allergic conditions and/or asthma) or who consulted the pediatrician again at a later stage because of new medical problems. In addition, sera from parents with clinical pertussis were selected. The median age of the patients in which the longitudinal course of IgG-PT was studied was 3.5 years (range, 0 to 35 years). A total of 10 patients were less than 6 months old; 7 patients were 6 to 11 months old; 19 patients were between 1 and 4 years old, 16 patients were between 5 and 9 years old; 2 patients were 11 or 12 years old; and 3 patients were 30 to 35 years old. Thirty-nine of the patients were vaccinated, six patients were unvaccinated, and for twelve patients the vaccination status was unknown. In all cases the follow-up sera used for the study were "left over" from samples obtained for some other diagnostic procedure. Informed consent for the study was obtained from the patients or their parents.
(iv) Patients with PCR and/or culture-proven pertussis.
In
the period from 1993 to 1998, the diagnosis of pertussis for 89 patients had been confirmed by culture of B. pertussis and/or a positive pertussis-specific PCR, while paired sera from these
patients had also been submitted for serology. Of the 89 patients, 58 had participated in a clinical study to assess the sensitivity of the
pertussis or parapertussis PCR in comparison with culture and serology
(34). For each of the remaining patients, a pertussis PCR
test was performed in the regional public health laboratory in Tilburg,
The Netherlands. In all cases, the first serum of the pair was obtained
on the same day that material for culture and/or PCR had been obtained:
the second sample was obtained 2 to 4 weeks later. Of the 89 patients,
37.1% were 0 to 5 months old, 7.9% were 6 to 11 months old, 21.3%
were 1 to 4 years old, 25.2% were 5 to 9 years old, 2.2% were 10 to
14 years old, and 5.6% were
15 years old.
In-house IgG-PT ELISA. The patient sera had been submitted immediately after sampling and were assayed in the routine setting of the serology laboratory of our institute within 4 days after receipt. The population sera, which had been collected in 1995 and 1996, were assayed in 1997 and 1998 in the same routine setting at a rate of approximately 200 sera per week. The IgG-PT was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) as previously described (34). In short, the procedure was as follows. Purified PT (National Institute of Public Health and the Environment) was used to coat 96-well ELISA plates after precoating with fetuin (50 mg/liter in phosphate-buffered saline). Peroxidase-labeled rabbit anti-human IgG was used as a conjugate, and 3,3',5,5'-tetramethylbenzidine (TMB) was used as the substrate. Negative, low-positive, and medium-positive control sera with defined IgG-PT contents were run on each plate. The sera were tested in duplicate in 1:100 and 1:400 dilutions against serial dilutions of a positive reference serum with a range of 1.6 to 100 "local" U/ml. The optical density (OD) of the 1:100 dilution was used to calculate the IgG-PT concentration. When the OD of the 1:100 dilution of a serum was above the range that constituted the steep part of the dose-response curve, the OD of the 1:400 dilution was used.
Due to the use of only two dilutions for the sera, the IgG-PT assay has an upper limit (500 U/ml) above which the values are not further differentiated. The lower detection limit of the assay is 5 U/ml. Results are expressed in "local" units per milliliter. The reference serum was also calibrated against the FDA preparation lot 3 (Food and Drug Administration Laboratory of Pertussis, Rockville, Md.). The formula for conversion of local to FDA units per milliliter appeared to be as follows: local U/ml × 0.8 = FDA U/ml within this assay.Data analysis.
For the cross-sectional population-based
study, frequencies of IgG-PT levels from <5 U/ml (lower detection
limit) to
500 U/ml (upper differentiation limit) within each
municipality were weighted by the proportion of the age group in the
population. To produce national estimates for percentiles 1, 2.5, 10, 25, 50, 75, 97.5, and 99, these weighted and age-specific frequencies were averaged over the 40 municipalities (5). The following age groups were separately analyzed: 0 to 5 months, 6 to 11 months, 12 to 17 months, 18 to 23 months, 2 years, 3 years, 4 years, 5 to 9 years,
10 to 14 years, and
15 years.
500 U/ml were also
assessed. The proportion of these groups that reported a pertussis
diagnosis or a period with coughing attacks during the past year was
calculated. The proportion of those who had a pertussis diagnosis
and/or coughing attacks more than one year ago and the proportion
without any pertussis diagnosis or coughing attacks were also calculated.
Likewise, for the patients with serologically proven pertussis (i.e., a
4-fold increase of IgG-PT in paired sera), the total and (similar)
age-specific percentiles 1, 2.5, 10, 25, 50, 75, 97.5, and 99 for
IgG-PT levels were calculated for the second sera of the serum pairs.
The median duration of disease at the time of initiation of laboratory
diagnosis, i.e., the time of sampling of first sera, was assessed for
these patients in the following age groups: 0 to 5 months, 6 to 11 months, 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, 4 years, 5 to 9 years, 10 to 14 years, and
15 years.
The median duration of the disease was also assessed for the same age
groups for the selection of patients from the serological database with
100 U/ml at the time of the first serum sampling without a fourfold
IgG-PT increase.
The Wilcoxon signed ranked test was used to test differences between
age groups in the IgG-PT distributions in the patients with positive
cultures and/or PCR with a P value of 0.05, which was
considered statistically significant.
To study the longitudinal course of IgG-PT levels after pertussis
infection for patients in the follow-up study, the association between
the IgG-PT level and time in 2log days after the first day
of illness (and the effect of age) was analyzed with a mixed linear
model (PROC MIXED in SAS version 6.12) (29). A
2log transformation of both the IgG-PT level in units per
milliliter and of time in days since the first day of illness was
performed. This way, linear regression yielded the best fit.
For those patients with follow-up data at 0 to 5 months, 6 to 11 months, 12 to 23 months, 2 to 3 years, and 4 to 7 years after onset of
the disease, the proportions with IgG-PT levels of <20, 20 to 49, 50 to 99, and
100 U/ml were calculated. If multiple serum samples were
available for one patient within one follow-up period, the serum sample
with the highest IgG-PT level was used.
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RESULTS |
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The IgG-PT distribution in the population compared to the IgG-PT
distribution in second sera of serum pairs of patients with
serologically confirmed pertussis: choice of cut-offs to be
validated.
The IgG-PT levels in individuals of the
population-based study were low in comparison to those in second sera
(i.e., reconvalescence sera) of patients with serologically confirmed
pertussis; these distributions showed little overlap (Fig.
1). In the population-based study, the
median IgG-PT was 6 U/ml, and for percentiles 97.5 and 99 the values
were 69 and 97 U/ml, respectively. In the second sera of patients with
serologically confirmed pertussis, the median IgG-PT was
500 U/ml;
the 10th percentile was 66 U/ml (Fig. 1).
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15 years old (data not
shown separately). With the exception of the 10- to 14-year-olds, the
age-specific percentile 99 value was below 100 U/ml.
The percentages with undetectable IgG-PT (i.e., <5 U/ml) decreased
from 85.5% for infants aged 6 to 11 months to 67.4% for infants 12 to
17 months and increased again to 79.4% at the age of 4 years (Fig. 1).
The proportion with undetectable IgG-PT decreased to 31.7% in those
15 years of age. From this age onwards, this percentage remained
stable (data not shown separately).
The median and the 10th percentile of the distributions of IgG-PT in
the second sera of patients with serologically proven pertussis showed
little variation in the different age groups; the median IgG-PT values
ranged from 316 to
500 U/ml, and the 10th percentile values ranged
from 40 to 87 U/ml (Fig. 1). The percentage of patients with an IgG-PT
level of
500 U/ml ranged from 40.7 to 57.0% within the various age
groups (Fig. 1). Thus, the IgG-PT distributions in the population
differed for the various age categories, but the IgG-PT immune
responses in pertussis patients did not. Therefore, for further
assessment of specificity and sensitivity of certain IgG-PT levels for
recent and/or active infection with B. pertussis, we chose
cutoffs of IgG-PT levels which were age independent, i.e., which were
based on the comparison of the IgG-PT distribution in the total
population and the IgG-PT distribution in second sera of the total
group of serologically confirmed pertussis patients. Cutoffs of 50 and
100 U/ml were chosen because IgG-PT levels of
50 and
100 U/ml were
detected in, respectively, 92.7 and 81.0% of patients (second sera)
with serologically confirmed pertussis. Such levels were rare, i.e., respectively, 3.6 and 0.8% in the general population. That is to say,
they gave specificities of such values as 96.4 and 99.2%, respectively. The specificity of the proposed cutoff of
100 U/ml was
maximally 100% for the ages of 0 to 5 months, 12 to 17 months, 18 to
23 months, and 2 years; minimally 97.9% for 10- to 14-year-olds; and
for the cutoff value,
50 U/ml, maximally 100% for the ages of 0 to 5 months and 18 to 23 months and minimally 96.2% for 10- to 14-year-olds
and
15-year-olds.
Validation of the proposed IgG-PT cutoffs as markers for recent or
active infection with B. pertussis. (i) Relationship
between high IgG-PT levels in the population and recall of pertussis
diagnosis and/or paroxysmal coughing.
In the population-based
study, while 9.6% of those with an IgG-PT level of <5 U/ml
reported coughing attacks or pertussis during the last year, this
percentage was statistically significantly greater: 19.9% for those
with an IgG-PT level between 50 and 99 U/ml and 25.5% for those with
an IgG-PT level of
100 U/ml (Table 1).
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(ii) Longitudinal course of IgG-PT levels after infection.
In
each of the 57 patients with clinical pertussis for whom there were
follow-up serum samples, the IgG-PT decreased with time after the onset
of the disease (Fig. 2). In the mixed
linear model with the IgG-PT in 2log U/ml and time from the
onset of the disease in 2log days, the intercept amounted
to 14.61 and the slope was
1.128. Thus, this model predicts that the
mean time of persistence of an IgG-PT level of
100 U/ml amounts to
134 days (4.4 months) and that after 365 days a level of 32 U/ml is
reached. Although IgG-PT levels of
500 U/ml were not further
differentiated, the slopes did not change statistically significantly
assuming that the levels of
500 U/ml were 1,000 U/ml or restricting
the analysis to those samples with IgG-PT levels of <500 U/ml. No
effect of age or vaccination status was shown in the mixed linear
model. The data points for each individual patient were connected
linearly. The resulting lines show that the IgG-PT level was below 100 U/ml within 1 year for 47 of the 57 patients. For 7 of the remaining 10 patients, the IgG-PT levels decreased below 100 U/ml during the
subsequent follow-up period, which ranged from 1.4 to 4 years. For two
of the remaining three patients, the follow-up period was less than 1 year. For these two patients, the IgG-PT levels amounted to 160 and 304 U/ml after 0.84 and 0.92 year of follow-up, respectively. The remaining
patient had an IgG-PT level of 252 U/ml at 1.1 years after the
first day of illness.
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100 U/ml in 90% of the patients, while the highest IgG-PT level
detected in the remaining patients was between 50 and 100 U/ml. At 6 to
11 months after the onset of the disease, the level had declined to
<50 U/ml in 40% of the patients. A decrease to <50 U/ml had occurred in 72% after 12 to 23 months, in 86% after 2 to 3 years, and in 100% after 4 to 7 years (Table 2).
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(iii) Time between onset of the disease and development of high
IgG-PT levels.
Sera from patients for all age groups with an
IgG-PT level of
100 U/ml in the first serum sample without a fourfold
increase in IgG-PT level had been sampled at a later stage of the
disease (median 30 days) than the first sera of patients showing a
fourfold increase in IgG-PT level (median 17 days) (Table
3). The first samples from patients
younger than 3 years of age were collected a few days earlier than the
samples from older age groups, particularly for patients with at least
a fourfold increase in IgG-PT.
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100 U/ml in a first serum that in our serodiagnostic
database of 1989 to 1996 is considerably larger (4.5-fold) than the
number of patients with at least a 4-fold increase in IgG-PT. This
discrepancy increases with age from 1-fold for the 0- to 5-month-old
ages to 13.6-fold for those of
15 years.
(iv) Sensitivity of the proposed cutoffs for IgG-PT in PCR and/or
culture-confirmed pertussis cases.
Among the 89 patients for whom
pertussis was confirmed by a positive culture and/or a PCR both in the
IgG-PT distributions in the first and second serum samples, no
statistically significant differences were found between age groups.
The distributions of IgG-PT in the first and second sera of the serum
pairs of these patients are shown in Fig.
3. In 3 of the 89 patients, IgG-PT was
undetectable (<5 U/ml) in both the first and the second serum samples.
In two other patients the IgG-PT rose from <5 to 7 and 8 U/ml. In 69 patients a
4-fold increase of IgG-PT was detected, in 11 patients the
IgG-PT in the first serum sample was
100 U/ml and no fourfold rise
was detected, and in 4 patients the rise in IgG-PT was <4-fold and the
IgG-PT level in the first serum sample was <100 U/ml. Thus, if
detection of a
4-fold increase of IgG-PT in paired sera and detection
of
100 U of IgG-PT per ml in a single serum sample are used as the
criteria for the serodiagnosis of active or recent infection with
B. pertussis, the sensitivity of IgG-PT serology
in this "gold standard" group of patients is enhanced from 77.5%
(69 of 89) to 89.9% (80 of 89). Overall, the sensitivity of IgG-PT
levels of
50 and
100 U/ml amounted to 88.8 and 76.4%,
respectively; i.e., 79 and 68 of the 89 patients had IgG-PT levels of
50 and
100 U/ml in the first and/or second serum samples,
respectively.
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DISCUSSION |
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Our results show that an IgG-PT level of at least 100 U/ml is a specific tool in laboratory confirmation of patients with a suspected pertussis infection in The Netherlands. The levels of IgG-PT in the Dutch population are lower than, and overlap only slightly, IgG-PT levels that are reached in patients with clinical symptoms of pertussis and a significant immune response to B. pertussis. IgG-PT levels of at least 100 U/ml were observed in <1% of the overall general population, varying between maximally 2.5% for 10- to 14-year-olds and <0.5% for those 2 years of age or younger. Furthermore, such levels were present in the second serum sample of 80% of those patients who had at least a fourfold increase in IgG-PT.
Our longitudinal study of pertussis patients shows that the levels decreased within less than 1 year to a level below 100 U/ml after natural infection with B. pertussis for almost all patients who had had high IgG-PT levels. The regression model predicts that a level of 100 U/ml is reached in 4.5 months and a level of <40 U/ml is reached within 1 year after onset of the disease. For seven of eight patients with a longer follow-up time, the IgG-PT levels were below 20 U/ml by 4 to 7 years after the disease onset. Thus, IgG-PT levels of at least 100 U/ml for patients with suspected whooping cough are indicative of recent or active infection with B. pertussis.
In our population-based study, the percentage of individuals who reported pertussis or coughing attacks in the last year increased from 10% for those with IgG-PT levels of <5 U/ml to 26% for those with levels of at least 100 U/ml. This finding offers further support for our conclusion that a high IgG-PT level is indicative of recent or active infection with B. pertussis.
Ten percent of the individuals in the population study with an IgG-PT level of <5 U/ml reported pertussis or coughing attacks in the last year. On the one hand, this may be explained by other respiratory tract infections that cause "pertussis-like" symptoms (35), rapid decline of a previously high IgG-PT level, or absence of an IgG-PT response after B. pertussis infection. It is also possible that not all subjects answered the question properly. On the other hand, the large percentage (60%) of individuals with high antibody titers who did not report pertussis or long-lasting coughing attacks might be due to very mild, atypical, or even asymptomatic infection with B. pertussis. In a household exposure study, a B. pertussis infection was shown to exist in 46% of the exposed subjects who remained well (7). In another study, only 26% of the adults with laboratory evidence of a B. pertussis infection reported recent symptoms compatible with pertussis (30).
Although IgG-PT is induced after whole-cell vaccination only in children aged 12 to 17 months and thus after the fourth dose given at the age of 11 months, a temporary and small increase was observed. These results are consistent with observations in a vaccine trial showing very low levels of IgG-PT after the first to third vaccinations and a small increase just after the fourth vaccination, as Nagel and others have observed (18, 24). Thus, it is very unlikely that high levels of IgG-PT are induced by previous vaccination with Dutch whole-cell vaccine. However, other vaccines might induce higher IgG-PT levels since the response to PT varies between different whole-cell vaccines and acellular vaccines (2, 11, 32, 33). However, even when a level of at least 100 U/ml is reached, it is likely to decline shortly afterwards (11, 32, 33). Giuliano et al. (11) reported that mean titers were close to the limit of detection 15 months after the primary immunization with acellular vaccine. High IgG-PT levels must be interpreted more cautiously in children recently vaccinated with a vaccine known to induce relatively high levels of such antibodies.
In addition to specificity, both sensitivity and positive predictive value are important as diagnostic tools. Using paired sera of patients with positive PCRs and/or positive cultures (gold standard group), a sensitivity of IgG-PT of at least 100 U/ml was 76%. At least a fourfold increase was found in most of the remaining patients in whose paired sera the IgG-PT level remained lower than 100 U/ml. One might speculate that a level of at least 100 U/ml may have been reached at a later point. Only 6% of all patients had very low IgG-PT levels in both sera without significant dynamics. With the exception of those aged 10 to 14 years, a level of IgG-PT of at least 100 U/ml exceeded the 99th percentile in the general population. Furthermore, as described above, it was likely that individuals in the general population with IgG-PT levels above this value had had a recent or active B. pertussis infection. Based on this 99th percentile, the positive predictive values will still amount to 90 and 80%, assuming the proportions of true pertussis patients to be 9 and 4%, respectively, among those who submitted serum samples [i.e., 9/(9 + 1) and 4/(4 + 1)]. However, depending on the clinical presentation and the epidemiological situation, the a priori chance of true positivity in most cases will be higher. Using a more conservative estimate, i.e., percentile 97.5 in the general population, the positive predictive value will not be below 80%, assuming a percentage of true positives of 10%.
Even an IgG-PT level of at least 50 U/ml has some predictive value, since it amounts to 70%, assuming a percentage of true positives of 10%. This suggests that the diagnosis of pertussis is likely among patients with clinical symptoms of pertussis with such IgG-PT levels. However, we interpret such a result to be indicative of, but not definite proof of, a recent B. pertussis infection, and we advise submission of a second serum sample. If no further change of IgG-PT level has occurred as evidenced by a second serum sample, we conclude that "recent or active infection with B. pertussis is possible."
Serological data obtained at our laboratory show that using our cutoff value for the IgG-PT level of at least 100 U/ml would increase the number of patients with serologically proven pertussis by more than fourfold. The increase is smallest for infants and greatest for adults, which is probably related to a longer delay in consulting a physician and/or initiating laboratory testing in older children and adults. This is supported by the similar median time (28 to 30 days) between the first blood sampling and the onset of symptoms for the various age groups for those with an IgG-PT level of at least 100 U/ml. For patients with at least a fourfold increase in IgG-PT the median time (17 days) between the first blood sampling and the first symptoms is about 2 weeks shorter than that for those without a fourfold increase and IgG-PT levels above 100 U/ml. The most useful method for pertussis diagnosis depends on the time of initiation. PCRs and cultures are most useful early in the disease. However, if they are negative, the diagnosis is indeterminate, and serology tests should be initiated. Late in the disease, PCRs and cultures are fairly insensitive (with an exception for infants less than 1 year old) and serology is then the method of choice (15, 20, 34).
To diagnose pertussis, other investigators have also used single serum samples from a control group for defining a cutoff, but most studies were limited to a specific study setting and were not meant for routine diagnosis (1, 6, 19, 20, 22, 26, 27, 31). Our control group consisted of a large number of participants from a population-based study so the representativeness is probably better guaranteed.
Cattaneo et al. point out that it is unlikely that a single serology value can be used to define infected persons in a broad age range because age, geographic area, prevalence of infection, and history of vaccination all have to be taken into account (3). Yet an IgG-PT level of at least 100 U/ml in a single serum sample might be a specific diagnostic tool for pertussis in other countries too. After all, it is likely that such high IgG-PT levels will not or will be reached only temporarily no matter which vaccine is used. After the initial increase, the IgG-PT level decreases again after B. pertussis infection, high predictive values are calculated under different assumptions about prevalence of infection and, finally, a large proportion of individuals with a B. pertussis infection show high IgG-PT levels later in the course of the disease. Thus, we believe that high IgG-PT levels could provide a useful laboratory tool for the diagnosis of pertussis in both the individual patient and in epidemiological studies (20, 28, 31). It might be worthwhile to validate our results in other countries.
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
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We acknowledge the Public Health Services, the Pienter Project Team, H. G. L. Boshuis, I. Belmouden, and P. van der Kraak for their very useful contributions.
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FOOTNOTES |
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* Corresponding author. Mailing address: Diagnostic Laboratory for Infectious Diseases and Perinatal Screening, National Institute of Public Health and the Environment, P.O. Box 1, 3720 BA Bilthoven, The Netherlands. Phone: 31-30-274-2190. Fax: 31-30-274-4418. E-mail: j.schellekens{at}rivm.nl.
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REFERENCES |
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