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Journal of Clinical Microbiology, October 2003, p. 4793-4795, Vol. 41, No. 10
0095-1137/03/$08.00+0 DOI: 10.1128/JCM.41.10.4793-4795.2003
Copyright © 2003, American Society for Microbiology. All Rights Reserved.
Use of Hepatitis B Virus DNA Quantitation To Predict Hepatitis B e Antigen Reversion in Cases of Chronic Hepatitis B
Henry Lik-Yuen Chan,* May Ling Wong, Alex Yui Hui, Lawrence Cheung-Tsui Hung, Francis Ka-Leung Chan, and Joseph Jao-Yiu Sung
Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
Received 10 February 2003/
Returned for modification 19 May 2003/
Accepted 14 July 2003

ABSTRACT
Seventy-three chronic hepatitis B patients who had either hepatitis
B e antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion (group I) or HBeAg-negative
disease (group II) were studied. HBV DNA levels at HBeAg seroconversion
(group I) and at initial visits (group II) were significantly
lower among patients who were persistently negative for HBeAg
than among those who underwent HBeAg reversion.

TEXT
In chronic hepatitis B, hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative
inactive disease (normal liver enzymes) has been shown to be
associated with low risk of liver-related complications (
7,
8,
11,
12), whereas HBeAg reversion is associated with increased
risk of liver-related complications, hepatocellular carcinoma,
and mortality (
8,
9,
11). This study aimed to identify a level
of viral load that can predict sustained disease remission after
HBeAg seroconversion and in HBeAg-negative patients in a longitudinal
follow-up.
Residual serum samples from treatment-naïve chronic hepatitis B patients were studied (2). The patients were followed up at 6-month intervals or more frequently as clinically indicated. Group I patients were positive for HBeAg on their initial visits and developed HBeAg seroconversion. Group IA patients had sustained HBeAg seroconversion for at least 6 months with normal alanine transaminase (ALT) levels, while group IB patients had reversion of HBeAg. Group II patients were negative for HBeAg and positive for anti-HBe at their initial visits. Group IIA patients were negative for HBeAg, with normal ALT levels throughout the follow-up, while Group IIB patients had HBeAg reversion.
For group I patients, HBV DNA was measured at their initial visits (time P1), at the time HBeAg first became negative (HBeAg seroconversion; time C), at the last visit (group IA; time N2), and at the time of HBeAg reversion (group IB; time R) (Fig. 1). For group II patients, HBV DNA was measured at their initial visits (time N1), at the last visit (group IIA; time N2), and at HBeAg reversion (group IIB; time R).
Serum HBV DNA was quantified by the TaqMan real-time PCR system
(PE Biosystems, Foster City, Calif.) as described previously
(
4,
5,
16). A standard curve was generated by serial 10-fold
dilution of EUROHEP genotype D HBV standard (from K. H. Heerman,
University of Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany), which contained
2.7
x 10
9 viral copies per ml. The range of HBV DNA detection
was from 10
2 to 10
9 copies/ml. HBV genotyping was performed
in the initial serum sample of each patient by restriction fragment
length polymorphism as described previously (
3,
5,
9).
HBV DNA was logarithmically transformed to normal distribution and expressed as the mean ± standard deviation. Variables were analyzed by a logistic regression model. Statistical significance was taken as a P value of <0.05.
The patients in group IA were younger than those in group IB, and the patients in group IIA were younger and had significantly lower initial ALT level than those in group IIB (Table 1). Other characteristics were comparable between the paired patient groups.
The patients in groups IA and IB were positive for HBeAg for
70 (range, 3 to 131) weeks and 47 (range, 4 to 153) weeks before
HBeAg seroconversion (
P = 0.82). Patients who had sustained
HBeAg seroconversion (group IA) were followed up for 89 (range,
28 to 155) weeks postseroconversion. HBeAg reversion occurred
at 32 (range, 5 to 140) weeks after seroconversion in group
IB. The log
10 HBV DNA levels at initial visits (time P1) were
comparable between the patients in groups IA (7.23 ±
1.50) and IB (7.24 ± 1.63) (
P = 1.0) (Fig.
2a). The log
10 HBV DNA levels at HBeAg seroconversion (time C) were significantly
lower among the patients in group IA (3.87 ± 0.61) than
among those in group IB (4.99 ± 1.55) (
P = 0.007). The
log
10 HBV DNA levels at HBeAg seroconversion (time C) among
patients in group IA were comparable to those at their last
visit (time N2) (4.11 ± 0.98) (
P = 0.3). At HBeAg reversion
(time R) among patients in group IB, the log
10 HBV DNA level
(7.39 ± 0.75) rose to the level at the initial visit
(time P1) (
P = 0.8). Using the log
10 HBV DNA level at time C
to predict HBeAg reversion, the area under the receiver operator
characteristic curve was 0.73 (95% confidence interval, 0.53,
0.93;
P = 0.03), and the likelihood ratios of the log
10 HBV
DNA level being <4 and >5 were 0.3 and 9.2, respectively
(Table
2).
The log
10 HBV DNA levels at initial visits (time N1) were lower
among patients in group IIA (3.84 ± 1.10) than among
those in group IIB (5.62 ± 1.39) (
P = 0.0001) (Fig.
2b).
The log
10 HBV DNA levels at the initial (time N1) and last (time
N2) (3.33 ± 1.18) visits were comparable among the patients
in group IIA (
P = 0.1). HBeAg reversion occurred at 48 (range,
16 to 129) weeks in group IIB. There was an increase in log
10 HBV DNA levels at HBeAg reversion (time R) among patients in
group IIB (6.65 ± 1.43), but the difference did not reach
statistical significance compared to that at the initial visit
(time N1) (
P = 0.3). Using the log
10 HBV DNA at time N1 to predict
HBeAg reversion, the area under the receiver operator characteristic
curve was 0.83 (95% confidence interval, 0.67, 0.98;
P = 0.002),
and the likelihood ratios of the log
10 HBV DNA level being <4
and >5 were 0.3 and 5.2, respectively (Table
2). All patients
in group IIB who had elevated initial ALT levels had log
10 HBV
DNA levels of >5.
The results of this study showed that a significant drop in HBV DNA was required for HBeAg seroconversion. An HBV DNA level below 104 copies/ml was predictive of inactive liver disease among patients undergoing HBeAg seroconversion and in HBeAg-negative patients, as reported in Europe (10, 14, 15). On the other hand, an HBV DNA level above 105 copies/ml was predictive of HBeAg reversion and viral recurrence, in line with the findings of anther Asian study (6). This suggested that insufficient viral suppression in HBeAg-negative patients was associated with a higher risk of viral recurrence. Some HBeAg-negative patients have high HBV DNA levels and HBeAg reversion despite persistently normal ALT levels. This echoed the previous findings that a normal ALT level alone was not an accurate indicator of inactive disease (1, 3, 17, 18).
Substantial overlap in HBV DNA levels did exist between patients who were in remission versus those who had HBeAg reversion, and an HBV DNA level between 104 to 105 copies/ml was a grey zone to predict disease activity. Although HBV DNA levels fluctuated with time, the magnitude of fluctuation in HBeAg-negative patients was limited, as illustrated by the similar HBV DNA levels at times C and N2 in group IA and at times N1 and N2 in group IIA.
In summary, measurement of HBV DNA after HBeAg seroconversion and in HBeAg-negative patients is useful to assess the risk of HBeAg reversion. Our results conform to the National Institutes of Health recommendation that an HBV DNA level higher than 105 copies/ml is associated with active liver disease (13). More sensitive HBV DNA assays are needed to detect lower HBV DNA levels for identification of inactive carriers.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
This study was supported by an RGC Earmarked Research GrantDirect
Allocation, Hong Kong (reference number 2002.1.023).

FOOTNOTES
* Corresponding author. Mailing address: Department of Medicine and Therapeutics, 9/F Prince of Wales Hospital, Shatin, Hong Kong SAR, China. Phone: 852-26323594. Fax: 852-26373852. E-mail:
hlychan{at}cuhk.edu.hk.


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Journal of Clinical Microbiology, October 2003, p. 4793-4795, Vol. 41, No. 10
0095-1137/03/$08.00+0 DOI: 10.1128/JCM.41.10.4793-4795.2003
Copyright © 2003, American Society for Microbiology. All Rights Reserved.
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