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Journal of Clinical Microbiology, January 2005, p. 120-126, Vol. 43, No. 1
0095-1137/05/$08.00+0 doi:10.1128/JCM.43.1.120-126.2005
Copyright © 2005, American Society for Microbiology. All Rights Reserved.
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J. A. Mumford
Animal Health Trust, Lanwades Park, Kentford, Newmarket, Suffolk, United Kingdom
Received 25 February 2004/ Returned for modification 31 May 2004/ Accepted 6 September 2004
| ABSTRACT |
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| INTRODUCTION |
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Inflammatory lower airway disease (IAD), which is usually associated with increased amounts of mucus visible in the trachea after exercise and increased proportions of inflammatory cells (44), is common in young racehorses around the world, despite marked differences in management and climate. Clinical signs associated with IAD include coughing (10, 16) and poor performance in racing (30, 37, 44, 45). IAD is considerably more common than signs of upper respiratory disease and in young racehorses has a mean monthly prevalence of around 12% and an incidence of around 10 cases/100 horses/month (10, 58). The mean duration of each incident is around 8 weeks, and the disease is often recurrent in individuals. The monthly prevalence and incidence of signs of upper respiratory disease are around 5% and 5 cases/100 horses/month (10, 38, 58).
The etiology and pathogenesis of IAD are poorly defined, but the etiology is probably multifactorial (10, 44). Studies focusing on individual agents suggest the possible involvement of viral infection (59), bacterial infection (10, 14, 16, 42, 43, 56), and environmental loading of the respiratory system (10, 27, 33, 50), as well as dysregulation of inflammatory processes (6). Individual bacteria commonly reported from cases include Streptococcus zooepidemicus (10, 14, 16, 42, 56), Streptococcus pneumoniae (14, 16, 56), Actinobacillus spp. (14, 16, 42, 56), and Mycoplasma felis (42, 55). However, few investigations have attempted to identify by multivariable epidemiological techniques those factors most likely to be of significance, which would provide a measure of those that deserve more detailed etiological investigations.
We undertook a large-scale longitudinal study of respiratory disease in racehorses over 3 years in seven different training yards in an attempt to define the relative importance of all of the infections associated with IAD and nasal discharge (ND). The specific aim of the study was to identify those agents most strongly quantitatively associated with disease and to assess whether their prevalence and incidence were sufficient to indicate an important role in etiology, having taken account of multiple independent sources of variation.
| MATERIALS AND METHODS |
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Horses were clinically examined on a monthly basis. An unguarded wire-mounted gauze swab was collected from the nasopharynx, and clotted blood was collected for viral serology immediately after exercise. An endoscopic examination of the trachea to the level of the carina was then performed (7, 32), with a tracheal wash sample being collected transendoscopically by instilling 30 ml of sterile phosphate-buffered saline into the distal trachea and then immediately aspirating it.
Laboratory examinations. Evidence of viral infection (including influenza H7N7 and H3N8, equine herpesvirus-1 [EHV-1] and EHV-4, equine rhinovirus-1 [ERV-1] and ERV-2, and equine adenovirus) was assessed through serological examination of serial blood samples by using complement fixation tests for EHV and ERV (49) and hemagglutination inhibition tests for influenza and adenovirus (4). Tracheal wash samples and nasopharyngeal swabs were returned to the laboratory on blocks of ice and assessed by standard quantitative cultural methods for the presence of bacteria, including mycoplasma (42).
Definitions of disease.
IAD was defined on the basis of a cumulative score composed of (i) visual assessment of the amount of mucus in the trachea, scored from 0 to 3 (7); (ii) cytological assessment of the degree of neutrophilic inflammation in tracheal aspirates, based on the proportion of neutrophils in the cellular population (47, 54); and (iii) the number of nucleated cells per cubic millimeter of tracheal wash. The degree of inflammation was scored on an ordinal scale, from 0 to 3, and IAD was defined as an inflammation score of
2 out of 3. A score of 3 out of 3 was derived from scoring
2 out of 3 on the amount of mucus in the trachea, and having moderate or greater proportions of neutrophils in the tracheal wash and
1,000 nucleated cells/mm3 of tracheal wash.
ND was defined as the presence of a mucopurulent or serous nasal discharge at the time of clinical examination. ND was not recorded in one training yard, which was excluded from relevant analyses.
Statistical methods. We undertook statistical analyses to determine the infections associated with the disease outcomes. Initially, data were explored with simple descriptive and categorical statistical approaches (1). Univariable association between categorical variables and disease was determined by using standard chi-square analyses and between continuous variables and disease by using t tests, assuming unequal variances. The functional form of the relationships between continuous variables, including log10 transformed bacterial counts (CFU/ml + 1), and disease was explored graphically. Univariable ordinary logistic regression analysis was used to identify the most parsimonious fitting variable form for each of the continuous and categorical variables.
Following univariable data analysis, multivariable mixed-effects logistic regression (MELR) models of the longitudinal data set were developed by using a forward stepwise approach. Random effects to account for horse-level effects were included in final models to account for lack of independence of repeated observations from the same individual (20). Autocorrelation variables were developed to adjust models for the effects of disease in the previous observation period, and single period time-lagged variables were tested in models to determine the effects of infections (viral and bacterial) in previous time periods (18). Statistical analyses were undertaken with SAS (version 8.02; SAS Institute Inc., Cary, N.C.) and Egret (Cytel Software Corporation, Cambridge, Mass.).
Variables associated with disease in univariable analyses (P < 0.4) were tested sequentially in regression models, and those that were significantly associated with the outcome (Wald
2, P
0.05) or whose inclusion in the model was associated with a significant reduction in model deviance (likelihood ratio
2 test, P
0.05) were retained in the models (28). Biologically meaningful two-way interaction terms between significant variables were also included if they provided a significant reduction in model deviance (likelihood ratio
2 test, P
0.05). After inclusion of such interaction terms, the model-building process was repeated to check that significant variables had not been excluded. The quality of model fit was assessed by using the Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic (28). Levels of statistical significance were generally set at P
0.05, although terms significant in ordinary logistic regression models were generally retained in mixed-effects models if they were associated with improved MELR model fit. The effects of marginally significant variables (0.05 < P < 0.1) were evaluated in terms of their impact on the quality of model fit through the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, particularly given the substantially reduced power of studies to detect significant interaction terms (48). Caterpillar plots (21, 22) were used to examine the distribution of horse-level residuals, including those for outliers, following development of MELR models.
| RESULTS |
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The final mixed-effects multivariable model contained terms for the numbers of S. zooepidemicus, Actinobacillus spp., S. pneumoniae, and Acinetobacter spp. organisms and for the detection of M. equirhinis and EHV seroconversions (Table 2). The model also contained terms for the horses' ages, the trainer, and the season, as well as an autocorrelation term representing disease in the previous month. There were significant interactions between the numbers of S. zooepidemicus and Actinobacillus spp. organisms, between the presence of S. pneumoniae and whether a horse was 2 years old or younger, and between the numbers of Actinobacillus spp. organisms and the presence of M. equirhinis. The model described the data well (Hosmer-Lemeshow test,
2df = 8 = 8.0, P = 0.43). During model building, the interaction term between S. zooepidemicus and Actinobacillus spp. significantly reduced model deviance, and the autocorrelation term for disease in the previous month was also highly significant (P = 0.0004) prior to inclusion of the random, horse-level term. Removal of either term from the final model reduced the quality of model fit (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P = 0.26 to 0.28). Horse-level residuals fell within 1 standard deviation of the mean for 138 of 148 horses.
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ND. The odds of having ND significantly decreased with age, in particular comparing yearling horses to 2-year-old animals (58). Univariable analyses suggested that the disease might vary with season (P = 0.06) and year (P = 0.02), but these terms were not significant in multivariable models. The detection of individual species of bacteria in the nasopharynx was not associated with ND, with the exception of S. zooepidemicus (P = 0.02). The univariable association between the detection of individual species of bacteria in tracheal wash samples and ND was not as strong as for IAD, with only a few species significantly associated with ND. Influenza (H3N8) seroconversion was significantly associated with ND in univariable analyses.
In the multivariable mixed-effects model, only age, the presence of IAD, and the detection of influenza (H3N8) and the serologically unidentified glucose-fermenting Mycoplasma sp. were associated with ND (Table 3). There was no evidence of clustering of the disease at the horse level (P = 0.5), and inclusion of a horse-level random effect had no effect on fixed-effect parameter estimates.
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| DISCUSSION |
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The sample of trainers may have influenced the precision with which the findings are generalizable to training thoroughbreds in general, but the intensity and length of commitment needed in a longitudinal study could only come from highly motivated individuals, and the prospective study design would in itself reduce bias. The mean duration of IAD incidents of around 2 months (10, 58) suggested that most IAD incidents will have been detected, but we recognize that the monthly sampling interval dictated by practical constraints could have missed some short episodes.
Temporal, spatial, and other correlations must be accounted for in longitudinal analyses (18, 62). The data set was not large enough for a monthly term, but the season variable, along with an autocorrelation variable representing the presence of disease in the previous month (62), addressed temporal correlations. The mean duration of IAD of around 2 months is entirely consistent with the finding that an autocorrelation term for disease in the previous month was close to significant (P = 0.076). Within-training-yard correlation was addressed by including a fixed-effect trainer variable in the IAD model.
A clear case definition for IAD was used, based on a combination of gross endoscopic evaluation of tracheal mucus and the presence of increased proportions of inflammatory cells, particularly neutrophils (44, 47), that has been used in many other studies (10, 47, 52, 54-58, 60). There are differences between this definition and others, and so care needs to be taken when comparing this study with other studies (15). IAD was associated with the occurrence of ND, although this might have been expected, as some tracheal mucus tends to appear at the nostrils after exercise.
The odds of having IAD varied substantially between horses, as shown by the size of random-effects variance. IAD was very common, particularly in 2-year-old horses, and the cumulative annual prevalence of IAD in this age group was 80% (58). Reasons for variations in disease frequency between horses are not understood but may reflect immunological and genetic factors. The chronic disease seen in some horses, particularly 2-year-olds affected with IAD for more than two-thirds of the year, is likely to include increased airway reactivity (26) and dysregulation of inflammation (6), although this possibility needs further investigation. Genetic factors may also influence susceptibility to IAD, as found with another equine bacterial lung disease (39).
The odds of having IAD varied significantly between trainers and between seasons, as did the prevalence of disease (58). The reasons for this result were not entirely clear but were not explained by the variation in the rates of the different infections detected. However, the pathogenicity of different subtypes of S. zooepidemicus might vary, as has been indicated for different Actinobacillus spp. (52), and different strains may have infected different training yards. Environmental factors are important in the etiology of IAD (33) and are likely to be responsible for at least some of the variation seen between trainers and years (58). A previous study found that the mean duration of IAD incidents was significantly higher for horses kept in an environment where dust loading was higher and ventilation was less well regulated (10). Respirable endotoxin, measured at the level of horses' nares, has been shown to be correlated with levels of neutrophilic inflammation in similar racehorses in Australia (31), and stabling in itself can cause some inflammation in airways (27, 50). However, direct comparison of these factors was outside the objectives of this work.
This work demonstrated a significant reduction in the odds of having IAD with age, as for incidence and prevalence (58). In the case of IAD, the decrease was continuous from 1-year-old to 3-year-old horses. The decrease in ND was most obvious between yearling animals and 2-year-olds. In this population of horses entering training around the end of their second year, it was impossible to differentiate the effects of age from those of time in training (15, 16, 42). The reduction of rates of IAD with age suggests the development of resistance or immunity and is consistent with IAD in young racehorses having an infectious component to its etiology. This reduction is in contrast to the prevalence of reactive airway obstruction associated with allergy to molds and spores, which increases with age (19).
Bacterial isolates were not obtained from 22% of tracheal washes, and the prevalence of IAD in horses with no bacterial growth was 4%. In stark contrast, there was 80% prevalence of IAD in horses with
105 CFU of bacteria/ml. The clear association of IAD with bacteria cultured from the trachea rather than the nasopharynx suggests that little part was played by any potential tracheal contamination by the endoscope. This finding is further supported by the lack of detectable bacteria in the majority of tracheal samples from animals free of IAD in spite of the almost invariable presence of nasopharyngeal commensals (43).
Consistent with other studies of the role of viruses in respiratory disease in racehorses (16, 42), there was little evidence of a significant role for any virus in IAD. EHV, the only virus associated with IAD, was detected in only 5% of time periods where IAD was detected and only 5% of time periods in which IAD was incident. Influenza (H3N8) infection, a well-established cause of upper respiratory disease in the horse (38, 40), was associated with ND, probably due to vaccine breakdown occurring, particularly in the young racehorse population (41).
The odds of having IAD were much increased in 2-year-old horses infected with S. pneumoniae, which was detected in 23% of such cases, but the infection was not associated with IAD in older animals. In contrast to the situation in humans (35), only one capsule type (type 3) has been reported from the horse (3, 56). The association with equine IAD exists across a wide range of studies (8, 16, 34, 56), and despite the fact that the genes for pneumolysin in the equine strain have been shown to be disrupted (53), lung disease in the horse can be experimentally reproduced with S. pneumoniae (5). The bacterium meets all of the criteria suggested for assigning causation of disease (25). That only capsule type 3 is found in horses and that the incidence of infection dramatically decreases with age are consistent with S. pneumoniae playing a significant role in IAD in young horses and with immunity being acquired, usually during the first year of exposure in training yards.
In contrast to S. pneumoniae, the strong association between S. zooepidemicus and IAD was not confounded by the age of the horse, although the prevalence and incidence of this infection do decrease with age, in parallel with those of IAD (58). S. zooepidemicus is a significant secondary pathogen in the horse (12), and it was isolated from the trachea of 66% of horses with IAD, with samples in 30% of cases having
103 CFU/ml. Disease (51), including pneumonia (61), has been reproduced experimentally in the horse, although we are unaware of any reports in the literature of experimental reproduction of IAD. S. zooepidemicus has homologues of the S. pneumoniae PsaA protein (23) as well as many other virulence determinants shown to be important in other bacterial species (24). The genome of Streptococcus equi has a large number of virulence determinants that are also in group A Streptococcus pyogenes and that have been previously characterized (17), and as S. equi and S. zooepidemicus are so similar, this is likely to be true for S. zooepidemicus as well. Many different M protein types of S. zooepidemicus (36) exist, differentiated by opsonizing antibodies in rabbits. These can also be differentiated by their 16S-23S RNA intergenic spacer (13), although neither approach was used here. However, isolates from this and other, similar studies have been stored; analysis of the patterns of infection of different isolates differentiated through their intergenic spacers and M protein hypervariable regions is underway (J. R. Newton, N. Chanter, and J. L. N. Wood, unpublished data). Type-specific immunity to different types of S. zooepidemicus may develop in the horse, and the time required for horses to be exposed to the most common types would explain the difference after 1 year in training between the 30% reduction in age-specific incidence of S. zooepidemicus and the corresponding >50% reduction for S. pneumoniae (58).
Horses experience many different group C streptococcal infections, both commensal and pathogenic, which serologically cross-react to a considerable degree. The different types of S. zooepidemicus have even more cross-reactive antigens. There was no serological test available that could easily distinguish between an S. equi, S. zooepidemicus, or Streptococcus equisimilis isolate, let alone the different types of S. zooepidemicus. Serological investigations would yield valuable information but await the development of tests to specifically quantify antibody responses to the different types of S. zooepidemicus. Presently, the available serological tests would be difficult to interpret. Future specific tests might be based on the variable regions of the surface M-like protein (36) or other antigens that may be associated with types determined genetically (13).
As for S. zooepidemicus, we found Actinobacillus spp. to be both common (58) and closely associated with IAD. The methods that we used to differentiate Actinobacillus and Pasteurella spp. turned out to be insufficiently discriminatory to identify the isolates to species level (52). It is likely that the strength of association of each species with IAD would have varied (52). An association between these bacteria and respiratory disease occurs in other species and has been reported for the horse as well (14, 16, 56). The negative statistical interaction with S. zooepidemicus (Table 2) probably just reflects the correlation between the isolation of the organisms. Also, as for S. zooepidemicus, the reduction in incidence of infection with Actinobacillus spp. with the age of the horse (58) is consistent with the development of immunity to different species or types and may also be a reason underlying the reduction in frequency of IAD with age.
The few reported studies of the role of mycoplasma in equine respiratory disease give only rates or incidents of isolation (2). The most recent study of their role in equine respiratory disease failed to isolate any mycoplasma (16), although they were common in horses in Ontario (11). Despite M. felis having been associated with acute respiratory disease (42, 55), it was relatively uncommon in the sampled population. In contrast, mycoplasma infections, particularly M. equirhinis, were common in racehorses in Britain and were associated with IAD, although their role in pathogenesis remains unclear.
The patterns of epidemiology and apparent persistence of the viruses and bacteria found to be associated with disease in this study vary markedly. While for EHV, a large proportion of the adult horse population are latently infected, equine influenza is an immunizing infection cleared within a maximum of 7 to 14 days, depending on the animal's immune status (38). Similar variation is likely to exist between the bacterial pathogens studied here but has not been so well characterized.
Even though 59% of horses with IAD had
103 CFU of either or all of S. zooepidemicus, Actinobacillus spp., or S. pneumoniae organisms/ml isolated from trachea wash samples, detailed statistical exploration did not reveal any evidence for biological interaction between these species of bacteria. There are other possible causes of IAD in populations of young horses (16, 31), but the data presented above suggest that S. zooepidemicus, Actinobacillus spp., or S. pneumoniae may play a significant role in most cases.
| ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
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We thank Toni-Ann Hammond and Sue Gower for technical assistance; Helena and David Windsor of Mycoplasma Experience for cultural investigations for mycoplasma; racehorse trainers Sir Mark Prescott, Luca Cumani, Simon Dow, Alex Scott, Ed Dunlop, John Gosden, and Dick Hern; and their staff and veterinary surgeons Mike Burrell, David Dugdale, Rob Pilsworth, Mike Shepherd, James Main, and Benoit Herinckx.
| FOOTNOTES |
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Present address: Intervet Plc, Walton Manor, Milton Keynes, Bucks, MK7 7AJ, United Kingdom. ![]()
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